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BTS Pro Series Season 13: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Cringe Crewloss 1:1
series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Team DogChamploss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Cringe Crew

Pudge
Pudgeoften banned
Ark · 5 games
60%
Mirana
Mirana
The Warden · 4 games
50%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
The Warden · 4 games
50%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
The Warden · 3 games
0%
Disruptor
Disruptor
The Warden · 3 games
33%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
Sunlight · 3 games
67%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Sunlight · 3 games
33%
Tusk
Tusk
FrancisLee · 3 games
67%

Team DogChamp

Marci
Marcisignature
yarintheslayer · 11 games
73%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
RCY · 10 games
50%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Bloody Nine · 9 games
67%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light
yarintheslayer · 8 games
38%
Mars
Marsoften banned
lukiluki · 8 games
50%
Bane
Bane
Bloody Nine · 7 games
43%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekeroften banned
StoneBank · 7 games
57%
Tinker
Tinkersignature
RCY · 7 games
71%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
Marci
377 picks · 603 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
318 picks · 204 bans
49%
Undying
Undying
311 picks · 559 bans
53%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
251 picks · 478 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
240 picks · 357 bans
55%
Enigma
Enigma
214 picks · 726 bans
59%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
213 picks · 264 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
213 picks · 130 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)31% vs 42%
Hero pool strength51% Team DogChamp
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Team DogChamp
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct22:28
Cringe Crew 45%Team DogChamp 55%
The model gave 55% on Team DogChamp — the game was taken by Team DogChamp in 29:48.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerArk
37% · 27 games71% · 3 games
TinkerRCY
Tinker
Leshrac
LeshracLil
44% · 65 games59% · 48 games
Chaos KnightStoneBank
Chaos Knight
Night Stalker
Night StalkerSunlight
45% · 51 game58% · 103 games
BeastmasterITALIANO GANGSTA
Beastmaster
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorFrancisLee
46% · 66 games57% · 13 games
Techiesyarintheslayer
Techies
Sven
SvenThe Warden
49% · 31 game49% · 73 games
ClockwerkBloody Nine
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction missed32:13
Cringe Crew 47%Team DogChamp 53%
The model gave 53% on Team DogChamp — the game was taken by Cringe Crew in 24:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Doom
DoomSunlight
52% · 81 game55% · 155 games
Wraith KingStoneBank
Wraith King
Sniper
SniperArk
49% · 26 games44% · 117 games
InvokerRCY
Invoker
Puck
Puckred2
52% · 133 games55% · 118 games
UndyingITALIANO GANGSTA
Undying
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeLil
45% · 125 games51% · 16 games
Techiesyarintheslayer
Techies
Clockwerk
ClockwerkFrancisLee
52% · 109 games45% · 68 games
SilencerBloody Nine
Silencer
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam DogChamp · 56%
Accuracy by game1 of 2