Elite League Season 2 - Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Cuyes Esportswin 2:1series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Infamousloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Cuyes Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Infamous
Lifestealeroften banned
CarJua · 1 game
Linaoften banned
S1RENM · 1 game
Puckoften banned
S1RENM · 1 game
Sven
CarJua · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
478 picks · 222 bans
Tiny
423 picks · 637 bans
Batrider
415 picks · 721 bans
Gyrocopter
404 picks · 361 bans
Centaur Warrunner
402 picks · 579 bans
Rubick
377 picks · 162 bans
Pangolier
367 picks · 786 bans
Shadow Demon
336 picks · 949 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 33%
Hero pool strength57% Cuyes Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% Cuyes Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Cuyes Esports 65%Infamous 35%
The model gave 65% on Cuyes Esports — the game was taken by Infamous.
Game 2prediction correct
Cuyes Esports 65%Infamous 35%
The model gave 65% on Cuyes Esports — the game was taken by Cuyes Esports.
Game 3prediction correct
Cuyes Esports 65%Infamous 35%
The model gave 65% on Cuyes Esports — the game was taken by Cuyes Esports.
Model check result
Model favoriteCuyes Esports · 65%
Series resultCuyes Esports 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3