Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 14 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
28%72%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
cybercats
Hoodwink
Fezor · 31 game
Weaveroften banned
Shigetsu · 19 games
Sand Kingsignature
DkFogas · 18 games
Clockwerksignature
Hduo · 17 games
Visagesignature
DkFogas · 15 games
Doomsignature
Fezor · 14 games
Jakiro
Hduo · 13 games
Marcioften banned
Hduo · 13 games
BETBOOM TEAM
Enchantressoften banned
Bignum · 7 games
Snapfire
CeMaTheSlayeR · 7 games
Clockwerk
Bignum · 6 games
Disruptor
CeMaTheSlayeR · 6 games
Medusaoften banned
Dinozavrik · 6 games
Pucksignature
Ainkrad · 6 games
Chaos Knightoften banned
Dinozavrik · 5 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Dinozavrik · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
743 picks · 574 bans
Puck
523 picks · 1063 bans
Dawnbreaker
469 picks · 616 bans
Marci
432 picks · 773 bans
Winter Wyvern
370 picks · 405 bans
Snapfire
367 picks · 193 bans
Zeus
324 picks · 374 bans
Razor
322 picks · 626 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 68%
Hero pool strength56% cybercats
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total72% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed29:27
cybercats 28%BETBOOM TEAM 72%
The model gave 72% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by cybercats in 41:17.
Game 2prediction correct5:17
cybercats 28%BETBOOM TEAM 72%
The model gave 72% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 24:33.
Game 3prediction correct39:13
cybercats 28%BETBOOM TEAM 72%
The model gave 72% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 28:09.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 72%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3