Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 14 · BO3
result vs prediction
cybercatswin 2:0series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 2:0
SG e-sportsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
cybercats
Hoodwink
Fezor · 27 games
Weaveroften banned
Shigetsu · 19 games
Sand Kingsignature
DkFogas · 18 games
Clockwerksignature
Hduo · 14 games
Grimstrokeoften banned
Hduo · 13 games
Jakiro
Hduo · 13 games
Doomsignature
Fezor · 12 games
Puckoften banned
Egor · 12 games
SG e-sports
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
700 picks · 509 bans
Puck
504 picks · 984 bans
Dawnbreaker
415 picks · 527 bans
Marci
387 picks · 703 bans
Snapfire
382 picks · 196 bans
Winter Wyvern
327 picks · 323 bans
Zeus
301 picks · 316 bans
Monkey King
290 picks · 615 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 43%
Hero pool strength51% SG e-sports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% cybercats
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct24:10
cybercats 51%SG e-sports 49%
The model gave 51% on cybercats — the game was taken by cybercats in 24:12.
Game 2prediction correct43:18
cybercats 51%SG e-sports 49%
The model gave 51% on cybercats — the game was taken by cybercats in 35:27.
Model check result
Model favoritecybercats · 51%
Series resultcybercats 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2