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Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 3. Восточная Европа. Второй дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
cybercatswin 2:0
series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:0
SIBE Teamloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

cybercats

Rubick
Rubick
jesv · 14 games
43%
Disruptor
Disruptor
forcemajor · 11 games
55%
Techies
Techies
jesv · 11 games
27%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
forcemajor · 9 games
56%
Doom
Doomoften banned
zenica · 9 games
44%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 8 games
50%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
jesv · 8 games
38%
Mirana
Mirana
forcemajor · 8 games
50%

SIBE Team

Bloodseeker
Bloodseekeroften banned
nesfeer · 6 games
50%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
y0nd · 6 games
50%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
Arti_Shock · 5 games
20%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
klassnokruto · 4 games
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
erase · 4 games
75%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
y0nd · 4 games
75%
Doom
Doomoften banned
klassnokruto · 3 games
67%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
klassnokruto · 3 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
728 picks · 624 bans
47%
Disruptor
Disruptor
599 picks · 529 bans
54%
Doom
Doom
516 picks · 999 bans
56%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
515 picks · 1273 bans
59%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
450 picks · 1141 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
445 picks · 916 bans
54%
Mirana
Mirana
425 picks · 224 bans
58%
Enchantress
Enchantress
420 picks · 607 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 44%
Hero pool strength50% SIBE Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% cybercats
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct20:11
cybercats 57%SIBE Team 43%
The model gave 57% on cybercats — the game was taken by cybercats in 32:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaDarkLord^
60% · 100 games53% · 160 games
Morphlingnesfeer
Morphling
Void Spirit
Void Spirityoung G
51% · 127 games50% · 236 games
Beastmasterklassnokruto
Beastmaster
Primal Beast
Primal BeastDkFogas
48% · 162 games38% · 116 games
Windrangererase
Windranger
Techies
Techiesforcemajor
52% · 181 game51% · 134 games
Skywrath Magey0nd
Skywrath Mage
Spirit Breaker
Spirit BreakerDukalis
48% · 76 games
Game 2prediction correct38:15
cybercats 55%SIBE Team 45%
The model gave 55% on cybercats — the game was taken by cybercats in 42:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Lancer
Phantom LancerDarkLord^
45% · 42 games49% · 149 games
Templar Assassinerase
Templar Assassin
Puck
Puckyoung G
55% · 185 games56% · 191 game
Doomklassnokruto
Doom
Bloodseeker
BloodseekerDkFogas
45% · 108 games44% · 101 game
Windrangernesfeer
Windranger
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonforcemajor
55% · 35 games49% · 96 games
Pugnay0nd
Pugna
Techies
TechiesDukalis
52% · 167 games
Model check result
Model favoritecybercats · 63%
Series resultcybercats 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2