?
arrow_backBack to match
Last-Last Chance · BO3
result vs prediction
cybercatsloss 1:2
series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Wayfarerswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

cybercats

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Fezor · 38 games
53%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Hduo · 21 game
62%
Visage
Visagesignature
DkFogas · 20 games
75%
Marci
Marcioften banned
Hduo · 19 games
47%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Shigetsu · 19 games
53%
Dazzle
Dazzlesignature
Hduo · 16 games
75%
Doom
Doomsignature
Fezor · 16 games
69%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
DkFogas · 14 games
71%

Wayfarers

Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
Petushara · 9 games
78%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
HappyDyurara · 8 games
63%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
DarkLord^ · 8 games
50%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
xsvampire · 7 games
86%
Lina
Linasignature
Squad1x · 6 games
100%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Squad1x · 5 games
80%
Marci
Marcioften banned
xsvampire · 5 games
80%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Squad1x · 5 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
486 picks · 354 bans
51%
Marci
Marci
455 picks · 668 bans
54%
Undying
Undying
315 picks · 529 bans
54%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
283 picks · 444 bans
47%
Enigma
Enigma
264 picks · 834 bans
57%
Puck
Puck
262 picks · 607 bans
56%
Pangolier
Pangolier
261 picks · 364 bans
54%
Snapfire
Snapfire
252 picks · 127 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 71%
Hero pool strength53% Wayfarers
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total55% cybercats
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
cybercats 55%Wayfarers 45%
The model gave 55% on cybercats — the game was taken by cybercats.
Game 2prediction missed
cybercats 55%Wayfarers 45%
The model gave 55% on cybercats — the game was taken by Wayfarers.
Game 3prediction missed
cybercats 55%Wayfarers 45%
The model gave 55% on cybercats — the game was taken by Wayfarers.
Model check result
Model favoritecybercats · 55%
Series resultWayfarers 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3