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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 15 · BO3
result vs prediction
cybercatswin 2:0
series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 2:0
YNTloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

cybercats

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Fezor · 36 games
53%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Shigetsu · 20 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Hduo · 19 games
58%
Visage
Visagesignature
DkFogas · 18 games
78%
Doom
Doomsignature
Fezor · 17 games
65%
Marci
Marcioften banned
Hduo · 17 games
47%
Dazzle
Dazzlesignature
Hduo · 16 games
75%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
DkFogas · 14 games
71%

YNT

Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightoften banned
DarkLord^ · 7 games
29%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Dominic · 6 games
33%
Tiny
Tiny
DarkLord^ · 6 games
33%
Sand King
Sand King
Malr1ne · 5 games
60%
Techies
Techies
jesv · 5 games
20%
Bane
Bane
dSa · 4 games
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
jesv · 4 games
75%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Dominic · 4 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
616 picks · 469 bans
52%
Marci
Marci
460 picks · 672 bans
53%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
383 picks · 541 bans
44%
Puck
Puck
374 picks · 832 bans
54%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
320 picks · 403 bans
55%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
298 picks · 486 bans
50%
Zeus
Zeus
268 picks · 349 bans
43%
Dazzle
Dazzle
262 picks · 163 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 51%
Hero pool strength59% cybercats
Head-to-head3 – 2
Model total71% cybercats
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct35:21
cybercats 71%YNT 29%
The model gave 71% on cybercats — the game was taken by cybercats in 34:24.
Game 2prediction correct45:27
cybercats 71%YNT 29%
The model gave 71% on cybercats — the game was taken by cybercats in 44:32.
Model check result
Model favoritecybercats · 71%
Series resultcybercats 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2