Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Восточная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
cybercatswin 2:0series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Zorka Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
cybercats
Grimstroke
Fezor · 8 games
Chaos Knightoften banned
Shigetsu · 7 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
Shigetsu · 5 games
Jakiro
Fezor · 5 games
Tinyoften banned
Shigetsu · 5 games
Bane
Hduo · 4 games
Rubick
Fezor · 4 games
Sand Kingoften banned
USHUSHUSH · 4 games
Zorka Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
468 picks · 633 bans
Bane
454 picks · 281 bans
Tiny
445 picks · 492 bans
Sand King
400 picks · 530 bans
Death Prophet
359 picks · 791 bans
Storm Spirit
347 picks · 546 bans
Ember Spirit
340 picks · 555 bans
Pangolier
335 picks · 509 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)35% vs 57%
Hero pool strength55% Zorka Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Zorka Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed16:31
cybercats 49%Zorka Gaming 51%
The model gave 51% on Zorka Gaming — the game was taken by cybercats in 39:48.
Game 2prediction missed16:43
cybercats 49%Zorka Gaming 51%
The model gave 51% on Zorka Gaming — the game was taken by cybercats in 28:45.
Model check result
Model favoriteZorka Gaming · 51%
Series resultcybercats 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2