Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 3. Северная Америка. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs predictionCICyberDragon Infinitywin 2:0
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
CyberDragon Infinity
No games played over 6 months.
For Fun
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
774 picks · 593 bans
Disruptor
548 picks · 446 bans
Tiny
439 picks · 380 bans
Beastmaster
411 picks · 968 bans
Nature's Prophet
408 picks · 688 bans
Undying
399 picks · 592 bans
Mirana
388 picks · 208 bans
Ember Spirit
387 picks · 910 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% CyberDragon Infinity
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% For Fun
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed33:18
CyberDragon Infinity 49%For Fun 51%
The model gave 51% on For Fun — the game was taken by CyberDragon Infinity in 37:12.
Game 2prediction missed52:50
CyberDragon Infinity 49%For Fun 51%
The model gave 51% on For Fun — the game was taken by CyberDragon Infinity in 55:03.
Model check result
Model favoriteFor Fun · 51%
Series resultCyberDragon Infinity 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2