Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 3. Северная Америка. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs predictionCICyberDragon Infinitywin 2:0
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:0
TXthe xddersloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
CyberDragon Infinity
No games played over 6 months.
the xdders
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
759 picks · 604 bans
Disruptor
548 picks · 464 bans
Beastmaster
422 picks · 995 bans
Tiny
418 picks · 379 bans
Ember Spirit
395 picks · 932 bans
Nature's Prophet
390 picks · 667 bans
Undying
390 picks · 598 bans
Doom
389 picks · 587 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% CyberDragon Infinity
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% CyberDragon Infinity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:43
CyberDragon Infinity 56%the xdders 44%
The model gave 56% on CyberDragon Infinity — the game was taken by CyberDragon Infinity in 45:30.
Game 2prediction correct19:51
CyberDragon Infinity 56%the xdders 44%
The model gave 56% on CyberDragon Infinity — the game was taken by CyberDragon Infinity in 28:10.
Model check result
Model favoriteCyberDragon Infinity · 56%
Series resultCyberDragon Infinity 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2