BTS Pro Series Season 8. Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
D2 Hustlerswin 2:1series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 2:1
4 Zoomersloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
D2 Hustlers
No games played over 6 months.
4 Zoomers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
364 picks · 178 bans
Hoodwink
321 picks · 117 bans
Lina
273 picks · 504 bans
Mars
268 picks · 429 bans
Pangolier
254 picks · 346 bans
Luna
249 picks · 341 bans
Nyx Assassin
233 picks · 502 bans
Shadow Demon
229 picks · 242 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)29% vs 45%
Hero pool strength50% D2 Hustlers
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total66% 4 Zoomers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:32
D2 Hustlers 34%4 Zoomers 66%
The model gave 66% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by 4 Zoomers in 41:45.
Game 2prediction correct55:36
D2 Hustlers 34%4 Zoomers 66%
The model gave 66% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by 4 Zoomers in 1:14:15.
Model check result
Model favorite4 Zoomers · 66%
Series resultD2 Hustlers 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 2