BTS Pro Series Season 9. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
D2 Hustlersloss 1:1series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Arkosh Gamingloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
D2 Hustlers
No games played over 6 months.
Arkosh Gaming
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Aui_2000 · 1 game
Brewmasteroften banned
monkeys-forever · 1 game
Crystal Maiden
Aui_2000 · 1 game
Enchantress
Aui_2000 · 1 game
Gyrocopteroften banned
Aui_2000 · 1 game
Kunkkaoften banned
Aui_2000 · 1 game
Lion
Aui_2000 · 1 game
Marsoften banned
Aui_2000 · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
284 picks · 157 bans
Mars
267 picks · 360 bans
Lina
257 picks · 526 bans
Tidehunter
247 picks · 389 bans
Pangolier
239 picks · 339 bans
Shadow Demon
227 picks · 238 bans
Monkey King
225 picks · 475 bans
Tiny
225 picks · 298 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)35% vs 29%
Hero pool strength50% D2 Hustlers
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total53% D2 Hustlers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteD2 Hustlers · 53%