BTS Pro Series Season 6. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
D2 Hustlersloss 1:1series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Infamousloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
D2 Hustlers
No games played over 6 months.
Infamous
Tusksignature
Pamplona · 13 games
Leshracoften banned
ILICH- · 11 games
Marsoften banned
ILICH- · 9 games
Dark Willow
Yor · 8 games
Earth Spiritoften banned
Pamplona · 6 games
Grimstrokesignature
Yor · 6 games
Invokeroften banned
PiPi · 6 games
Troll Warlordoften banned
Arms · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
375 picks · 974 bans
Lion
372 picks · 204 bans
Mars
363 picks · 590 bans
Grimstroke
341 picks · 360 bans
Snapfire
309 picks · 176 bans
Tusk
288 picks · 219 bans
Death Prophet
276 picks · 615 bans
Tiny
271 picks · 186 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)76% vs 41%
Hero pool strength53% Infamous
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% D2 Hustlers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed37:22
D2 Hustlers 66%Infamous 34%
The model gave 66% on D2 Hustlers — the game was taken by Infamous in 42:39.
Game 2prediction missed57:17
D2 Hustlers 66%Infamous 34%
The model gave 66% on D2 Hustlers — the game was taken by Infamous in 33:37.
Model check result
Model favoriteD2 Hustlers · 66%
Accuracy by game0 of 2