Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionDFD Familyloss 0:2
series probability
12%88%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Execrationwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
D Family
No games played over 6 months.
Execration
Ember Spiritoften banned
Bob · 12 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Palos · 11 games
Skywrath Mage
cml · 11 games
Jakiro
cml · 10 games
Marsoften banned
Tino- · 10 games
Axe
Tino- · 9 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Bob · 9 games
Muertaoften banned
Shanks · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
600 picks · 367 bans
Phoenix
492 picks · 579 bans
Rubick
487 picks · 262 bans
Tiny
457 picks · 386 bans
Pangolier
403 picks · 553 bans
Puck
338 picks · 915 bans
Beastmaster
336 picks · 846 bans
Tusk
325 picks · 276 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 38%
Hero pool strength51% D Family
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total88% Execration
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:30
D Family 12%Execration 88%
The model gave 88% on Execration — the game was taken by Execration in 41:54.
Game 2prediction correct13:35
D Family 12%Execration 88%
The model gave 88% on Execration — the game was taken by Execration in 28:23.
Model check result
Model favoriteExecration · 88%
Series resultExecration 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2