Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 1 — Китай 2-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Dalanjing Gamingloss 0:2series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Dragonwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Dalanjing Gaming
Tidehunteroften banned
Newbie · 2 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Newbie · 1 game
Death Prophetoften banned
blessing · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
blessing · 1 game
Kunkkaoften banned
blessing · 1 game
Lycanoften banned
Eros · 1 game
Medusaoften banned
Eros · 1 game
Monkey Kingoften banned
Eros · 1 game
Dragon
Elder Titan
斗圣 · 1 game
Grimstroke
斗圣 · 1 game
Nyx Assassinoften banned
斗圣 · 1 game
Phoenixoften banned
斗圣 · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
154 picks · 272 bans
Puck
149 picks · 349 bans
Earth Spirit
136 picks · 113 bans
Void Spirit
131 picks · 192 bans
Phoenix
118 picks · 132 bans
Keeper of the Light
103 picks · 186 bans
Nyx Assassin
103 picks · 347 bans
Rubick
100 picks · 51 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)25% vs 50%
Hero pool strength55% Dalanjing Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% Dragon
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteDragon · 69%
Series resultDragon 0:2
Series predictioncorrect