Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 1 — Китай 2-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Dalanjing Gamingloss 0:2series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Dynastywin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Dalanjing Gaming
Tidehunteroften banned
Newbie · 2 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Newbie · 1 game
Death Prophetoften banned
blessing · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
blessing · 1 game
Kunkkaoften banned
blessing · 1 game
Lycanoften banned
Eros · 1 game
Medusaoften banned
Eros · 1 game
Monkey Kingoften banned
Eros · 1 game
Dynasty
Mirana
Hy · 4 games
Tusk
Hy · 3 games
Earth Spirit
Hy · 1 game
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Hy · 1 game
Lion
Hy · 1 game
Outworld Destroyeroften banned
Hy · 1 game
Phoenixoften banned
Hy · 1 game
Shadow Shaman
Hy · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
376 picks · 790 bans
Void Spirit
348 picks · 471 bans
Mars
299 picks · 524 bans
Earth Spirit
270 picks · 227 bans
Death Prophet
266 picks · 421 bans
Rubick
247 picks · 146 bans
Keeper of the Light
234 picks · 489 bans
Wraith King
229 picks · 340 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)17% vs 33%
Hero pool strength58% Dalanjing Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Dynasty
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteDynasty · 58%
Series resultDynasty 0:2
Series predictioncorrect