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CCT Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Dandelionswin 2:1
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Monteloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Dandelions

No games played over 6 months.

Monte

Rubick
Rubick
QBFY · 13 games
46%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
QBFY · 13 games
54%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
QBFY · 11 games
36%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
EcNart · 11 games
27%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowoften banned
QBFY · 11 games
45%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Crystallize · 11 games
55%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Moonlight · 11 games
55%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 10 games
30%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
415 picks · 307 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
412 picks · 434 bans
54%
Tiny
Tiny
394 picks · 890 bans
53%
Weaver
Weaver
392 picks · 822 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
362 picks · 519 bans
46%
Phoenix
Phoenix
361 picks · 712 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
347 picks · 483 bans
55%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
307 picks · 534 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 34%
Hero pool strength52% Dandelions
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total60% Dandelions
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed13:38
Dandelions 60%Monte 40%
The model gave 60% on Dandelions — the game was taken by Monte in 32:46.
Game 2prediction missed17:27
Dandelions 60%Monte 40%
The model gave 60% on Dandelions — the game was taken by Monte in 32:17.
Game 3prediction missed13:20
Dandelions 60%Monte 40%
The model gave 60% on Dandelions — the game was taken by Monte in 32:07.
Model check result
Model favoriteDandelions · 60%
Series resultDandelions 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 3