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The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Dandelionsloss 0:2
series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Nemiga Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Dandelions

Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Palantimos · 1 game
100%
Lone Druid
Lone Druidoften banned
Nande · 1 game
100%
Rubick
Rubick
Kidaro · 1 game
100%
Slark
Slarkoften banned
armageddon · 1 game
100%
Zeus
Zeus
Mo13ei · 1 game
100%

Nemiga Gaming

Jakiro
Jakiro
VaniLLl · 23 games
30%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
VaniLLl · 21 game
48%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Covisnine · 18 games
39%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
ariel · 17 games
47%
Puck
Puckoften banned
young G · 16 games
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
young G · 15 games
40%
Axe
Axeoften banned
Covisnine · 14 games
50%
Tiny
Tiny
selfhate · 14 games
29%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
607 picks · 392 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
510 picks · 284 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
480 picks · 578 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
463 picks · 382 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
418 picks · 588 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
342 picks · 952 bans
55%
Tusk
Tusk
338 picks · 281 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
330 picks · 492 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 53%
Hero pool strength62% Dandelions
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:43
Dandelions 41%Nemiga Gaming 59%
The model gave 59% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 52:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lycan
LycanPalantimos
48% · 157 games45% · 130 games
Terrorbladeselfhate
Terrorblade
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendNande
50% · 330 games47% · 147 games
SnapfireCovisnine
Snapfire
Lina
LinaMo13ei
57% · 19 games47% · 183 games
Storm Spirityoung G
Storm Spirit
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorKidaro
59% · 106 games53% · 177 games
DisruptorFishman
Disruptor
Lion
Lionarmageddon
49% · 156 games50% · 131 game
Clockwerkariel
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction correct6:31
Dandelions 41%Nemiga Gaming 59%
The model gave 59% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 22:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lina
LinaMo13ei
62% · 15 games43% · 106 games
Doomselfhate
Doom
Magnus
MagnusNande
59% · 55 games44% · 163 games
Storm Spirityoung G
Storm Spirit
Dark Seer
Dark SeerPalantimos
40% · 69 games59% · 98 games
Primal BeastCovisnine
Primal Beast
Chen
ChenKidaro
60% · 144 games57% · 39 games
Treant ProtectorFishman
Treant Protector
Monkey King
Monkey Kingarmageddon
45% · 154 games47% · 31 game
Techiesariel
Techies
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 66%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2