Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Восточная Европа. Первый дивизион · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
7%93%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Darkside
No games played over 6 months.
BETBOOM TEAM
Death Prophetsignature
Nightfall · 17 games
Rubicksignature
Save- · 15 games
Clockwerksignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 13 games
Leshracsignature
gpK~ · 13 games
Tiny
Save- · 12 games
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 9 games
Miranasignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 9 games
Treant Protectorsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 9 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
879 picks · 609 bans
Tiny
624 picks · 434 bans
Treant Protector
531 picks · 544 bans
Tusk
529 picks · 433 bans
Nature's Prophet
525 picks · 843 bans
Snapfire
470 picks · 326 bans
Death Prophet
462 picks · 977 bans
Clockwerk
421 picks · 308 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)22% vs 56%
Hero pool strength58% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total93% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:36
Darkside 7%BETBOOM TEAM 93%
The model gave 93% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 34:50.
Game 2prediction correct39:11
Darkside 7%BETBOOM TEAM 93%
The model gave 93% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 26:15.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 93%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2