BetBoom Universe: Episode I — Comics Zone · BO3
result vs prediction
Darksidewin 2:0series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 2:0
X3loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Darkside
No games played over 6 months.
X3
Tiny
velheor · 23 games
Marcioften banned
velheor · 21 game
Pangolieroften banned
NattyNarwhal · 21 game
Enigmaoften banned
Shergarat · 18 games
Hoodwink
alone · 18 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Shergarat · 16 games
Tusk
NattyNarwhal · 16 games
Linaoften banned
NattyNarwhal · 15 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
449 picks · 447 bans
Rubick
448 picks · 296 bans
Tiny
434 picks · 398 bans
Mirana
325 picks · 325 bans
Treant Protector
298 picks · 351 bans
Snapfire
269 picks · 137 bans
Ember Spirit
246 picks · 616 bans
Crystal Maiden
233 picks · 161 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)31% vs 59%
Hero pool strength53% X3
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% X3
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct35:25
Darkside 40%X3 60%
The model gave 60% on X3 — the game was taken by X3 in 41:13.
Game 2prediction correct13:29
Darkside 40%X3 60%
The model gave 60% on X3 — the game was taken by X3 in 26:47.
Model check result
Model favoriteX3 · 60%
Series resultDarkside 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 2