Galaxy Ez Turbo · BO1
result vs prediction
Daxak Teamloss 0:1series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 0:1
STSereGGa Teamwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Daxak Team
No games played over 6 months.
SereGGa Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
643 picks · 447 bans
Rubick
598 picks · 339 bans
Phoenix
457 picks · 533 bans
Pangolier
454 picks · 659 bans
Tiny
405 picks · 360 bans
Ember Spirit
347 picks · 505 bans
Storm Spirit
347 picks · 395 bans
Puck
330 picks · 998 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Daxak Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Daxak Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Daxak Team 58%SereGGa Team 42%
The model gave 58% on Daxak Team — the game was taken by SereGGa Team.
Model check result
Model favoriteDaxak Team · 58%
Series resultSereGGa Team 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1