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BETBOOM Streamers Battle 15 · BO3
result vs prediction
Daxak Teamwin 2:0
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:0
YBN Teamloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Daxak Team

Witch Doctor
Witch Doctor
r4dom1r · 5 games
80%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
Unique · 4 games
50%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Groom · 4 games
75%
Morphling
Morphling
eccobladee2k · 4 games
75%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Groom · 3 games
100%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Daxak · 3 games
67%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
Unique · 3 games
100%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
ya sulen · 3 games
67%

YBN Team

Doom
Doomoften banned
kolya_kaBAN68 · 4 games
25%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
balod9l · 4 games
25%
Snapfire
Snapfire
ybicanoooobov · 4 games
0%
Alchemist
Alchemist
nesfeer · 3 games
33%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
ybicanoooobov · 3 games
67%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Shishak · 3 games
0%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Shishak · 3 games
33%
Sand King
Sand King
ybicanoooobov · 3 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
498 picks · 299 bans
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
387 picks · 167 bans
51%
Mirana
Mirana
371 picks · 166 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
325 picks · 492 bans
59%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
310 picks · 310 bans
54%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
303 picks · 283 bans
59%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
291 picks · 488 bans
53%
Undying
Undying
275 picks · 359 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)75% vs 27%
Hero pool strength64% Daxak Team
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total60% Daxak Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct51:32
Daxak Team 55%YBN Team 45%
The model gave 55% on Daxak Team — the game was taken by Daxak Team in 1:32:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Juggernaut
Juggernauteccobladee2k
48% · 44 games49% · 18 games
Phantom Lancerbottega
Phantom Lancer
Mirana
MiranaGroom
53% · 59 games46% · 103 games
Dark Seertakizawa
Dark Seer
Snapfire
Snapfireya sulen
52% · 103 games50% · 52 games
GrimstrokeEARTHQ
Grimstroke
Axe
AxeDaxak
43% · 74 games55% · 97 games
Marciybicanoooobov
Marci
Witch Doctor
Witch DoctorWeeeNy
45% · 27 games60% · 37 games
Ancient Apparitionbalod9l
Ancient Apparition
Game 2prediction correct25:18
Daxak Team 55%YBN Team 45%
The model gave 55% on Daxak Team — the game was taken by Daxak Team in 29:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
Morphlingeccobladee2k
39% · 29 games49% · 311 games
Beastmastertakizawa
Beastmaster
Kunkka
KunkkaDaxak
54% · 74 games43% · 30 games
Iobottega
Io
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightya sulen
49% · 168 games50% · 22 games
Death Prophetybicanoooobov
Death Prophet
Warlock
WarlockWeeeNy
49% · 206 games51% · 90 games
Nyx AssassinEARTHQ
Nyx Assassin
Ringmaster
RingmasterGroom
53% · 176 games54% · 200 games
Abaddonbalod9l
Abaddon
Model check result
Model favoriteDaxak Team · 60%
Series resultDaxak Team 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2