BLAST Slam V. Открытые отборочные · BO1
result vs predictionDCDelousil cleanloss 0:1
series probability
23%77%
probability at match start · final 0:1
HULIGANIwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Delousil clean
No games played over 6 months.
HULIGANI
Earthshakersignature
erase · 21 game
Clockwerk
slimeyao · 18 games
Doomsignature
v1olent- · 18 games
Warlock
RESPECT · 17 games
Chenoften banned
RESPECT · 16 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Bb3px · 16 games
Monkey Kingsignature
erase · 15 games
Puckoften banned
erase · 15 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
465 picks · 239 bans
Disruptor
458 picks · 442 bans
Puck
358 picks · 947 bans
Pugna
324 picks · 370 bans
Warlock
304 picks · 150 bans
Tusk
295 picks · 226 bans
Nature's Prophet
288 picks · 669 bans
Batrider
286 picks · 645 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 51%
Hero pool strength54% HULIGANI
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total77% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Delousil clean 23%HULIGANI 77%
The model gave 77% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI.
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 77%
Series resultHULIGANI 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1