PGL Wallachia Season 6. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionDDemonioswin 2:0
series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 2:0
CBChicleteira Bicicleteiraloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Demonios
No games played over 6 months.
Chicleteira Bicicleteira
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Disruptor
408 picks · 368 bans
Snapfire
371 picks · 188 bans
Puck
348 picks · 886 bans
Pugna
309 picks · 354 bans
Tusk
287 picks · 242 bans
Dawnbreaker
282 picks · 809 bans
Warlock
282 picks · 136 bans
Batrider
276 picks · 688 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% Demonios
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Chicleteira Bicicleteira
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Demonios 42%Chicleteira Bicicleteira 58%
The model gave 58% on Chicleteira Bicicleteira — the game was taken by Demonios.
Game 2prediction missed
Demonios 42%Chicleteira Bicicleteira 58%
The model gave 58% on Chicleteira Bicicleteira — the game was taken by Demonios.
Model check result
Model favoriteChicleteira Bicicleteira · 58%
Series resultDemonios 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2