BLAST Slam VIII. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionDDevil_Kingswin 1:0
series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 1:0
TATeam Armletloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Devil_Kings
No games played over 6 months.
Team Armlet
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
489 picks · 330 bans
Bane
350 picks · 463 bans
Clockwerk
339 picks · 529 bans
Ember Spirit
324 picks · 501 bans
Shadow Fiend
315 picks · 652 bans
Tiny
291 picks · 320 bans
Windranger
275 picks · 201 bans
Rubick
260 picks · 145 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Devil_Kings
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Devil_Kings
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Devil_Kings 51%Team Armlet 49%
The model gave 51% on Devil_Kings — the game was taken by Devil_Kings.
Model check result
Model favoriteDevil_Kings · 51%
Series resultDevil_Kings 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1