BLAST Slam VII. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionDDirebornwin 2:0
series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Aasia.kzloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Direborn
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Juju · 4 games
Crystal Maiden
Juju · 2 games
Marsoften banned
woMy · 2 games
Pugna
db- · 2 games
Slarkoften banned
Cije · 2 games
Abaddonoften banned
Cije · 1 game
Anti-Mageoften banned
Cije · 1 game
Beastmasteroften banned
woMy · 1 game
asia.kz
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
677 picks · 843 bans
Tiny
572 picks · 582 bans
Tusk
501 picks · 429 bans
Warlock
476 picks · 334 bans
Shadow Demon
417 picks · 1139 bans
Ember Spirit
404 picks · 686 bans
Mars
395 picks · 621 bans
Shadow Fiend
395 picks · 1028 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)30% vs 50%
Hero pool strength57% asia.kz
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% asia.kz
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Direborn 45%asia.kz 55%
The model gave 55% on asia.kz — the game was taken by Direborn.
Game 2prediction missed
Direborn 45%asia.kz 55%
The model gave 55% on asia.kz — the game was taken by Direborn.
Model check result
Model favoriteasia.kz · 55%
Series resultDireborn 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2