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BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
DMSloss 1:2
series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Night Pulsewin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

DMS

Batrider
Batridersignature
aik · 8 games
63%
Jakiro
Jakiro
aik · 8 games
50%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
mellojul · 7 games
71%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
prblms · 7 games
43%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
prblms · 6 games
50%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
Shigetsu · 6 games
50%
Visage
Visageoften banned
Daxak · 5 games
40%
Dazzle
Dazzleoften banned
Daxak · 4 games
75%

Night Pulse

Hoodwink
Hoodwinkoften banned
JANTER · 23 games
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Hduo · 21 game
48%
Ursa
Ursasignature
V-Tune · 19 games
68%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Hduo · 17 games
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Worick · 17 games
59%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Kami · 17 games
59%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Worick · 17 games
41%
Medusa
Medusasignature
V-Tune · 16 games
69%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
351 picks · 341 bans
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
349 picks · 258 bans
46%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
348 picks · 401 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
326 picks · 497 bans
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
296 picks · 264 bans
53%
Sven
Sven
291 picks · 305 bans
51%
Windranger
Windranger
281 picks · 388 bans
52%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
279 picks · 456 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 60%
Hero pool strength51% Night Pulse
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total58% Night Pulse
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:3
DMS 47%Night Pulse 53%
The model gave 53% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by DMS in 25:14.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemist
AlchemistShigetsu
49% · 115 games49% · 220 games
LunaV-Tune
Luna
Primal Beast
Primal Beastmellojul
54% · 236 games57% · 153 games
Storm SpiritWorick
Storm Spirit
Batrider
BatriderDaxak
51% · 266 games47% · 357 games
PangolierKami
Pangolier
Tusk
Tuskaik
45% · 153 games47% · 41 game
AbaddonHduo
Abaddon
Naga Siren
Naga Sirenprblms
53% · 104 games47% · 103 games
SniperJANTER
Sniper
Game 2prediction correct3:24
DMS 44%Night Pulse 56%
The model gave 56% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Night Pulse in 26:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightShigetsu
44% · 151 game48% · 169 games
Nature's ProphetKami
Nature's Prophet
Pangolier
Pangoliermellojul
50% · 184 games55% · 115 games
SniperWorick
Sniper
Batrider
BatriderDaxak
50% · 172 games43% · 232 games
Vengeful SpiritV-Tune
Vengeful Spirit
Slark
Slarkprblms
65% · 44 games58% · 44 games
OmniknightHduo
Omniknight
Enchantress
Enchantressaik
42% · 158 games56% · 149 games
MarciJANTER
Marci
Game 3prediction correct7:23
DMS 48%Night Pulse 52%
The model gave 52% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Night Pulse in 35:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaShigetsu
51% · 168 games57% · 55 games
MedusaV-Tune
Medusa
Huskar
Huskarmellojul
51% · 24 games48% · 32 games
ViperWorick
Viper
Kunkka
KunkkaDaxak
48% · 190 games50% · 198 games
MarsKami
Mars
Mirana
Miranaprblms
50% · 104 games46% · 105 games
Dark WillowJANTER
Dark Willow
Omniknight
Omniknightaik
48% · 46 games52% · 142 games
TuskHduo
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoriteNight Pulse · 58%
Series resultNight Pulse 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3