dpcenjoyers vs V1dar Gaming — prediction BDD2ОК · Dota 2

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BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO3

result vs prediction

dpcenjoyerswin 2:1

series probability

67%33%

probability at match start · final 2:1

V1dar Gamingloss 1:2

The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.

Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months

Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

dpcenjoyers

No games played over 6 months.

V1dar Gaming

No games played over 6 months.

Patch meta · 3 months

The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.

Grimstroke

249 picks · 422 bans

52%

Muerta

225 picks · 317 bans

50%

Phoenix

214 picks · 331 bans

49%

Centaur Warrunner

198 picks · 268 bans

50%

Tusk

198 picks · 184 bans

47%

Dark Willow

197 picks · 97 bans

54%

Treant Protector

187 picks · 358 bans

54%

Kunkka

177 picks · 507 bans

59%

Prediction components

Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%

Hero pool strength50% dpcenjoyers

Head-to-head0 – 0

Model total67% dpcenjoyers

Prediction by game vs result

Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.

Game 1prediction correct55:29

dpcenjoyers 60%V1dar Gaming 40%

The model gave 60% on dpcenjoyers — the game was taken by dpcenjoyers in 59:52.

Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo