DreamLeague Season 24. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
drago kingsloss 1:2series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Zone Academywin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
drago kings
Invokeroften banned
Panda · 2 games
Necrophos
Panda · 1 game
Queen of Painoften banned
Panda · 1 game
Zone Academy
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
350 picks · 258 bans
Snapfire
339 picks · 279 bans
Pangolier
330 picks · 453 bans
Hoodwink
318 picks · 365 bans
Rubick
316 picks · 312 bans
Windranger
307 picks · 430 bans
Enchantress
302 picks · 519 bans
Dragon Knight
299 picks · 481 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 63%
Hero pool strength52% drago kings
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Zone Academy
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed42:46
drago kings 45%Zone Academy 55%
The model gave 55% on Zone Academy — the game was taken by drago kings in 45:41.
Game 2prediction correct
drago kings 45%Zone Academy 55%
The model gave 55% on Zone Academy — the game was taken by Zone Academy.
Game 3prediction correct
drago kings 45%Zone Academy 55%
The model gave 55% on Zone Academy — the game was taken by Zone Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteZone Academy · 55%
Series resultZone Academy 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3