CCT Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Dragon Esportswin 1:0series probability
24%76%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Team Tealoss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Dragon Esports
Pangolieroften banned
Norma · 7 games
Lifestealeroften banned
paw · 5 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Norma · 4 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
paw · 4 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
dualrazee · 4 games
Tinyoften banned
dualrazee · 4 games
Ursaoften banned
paw · 4 games
Broodmotheroften banned
dualrazee · 3 games
Team Tea
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
405 picks · 603 bans
Gyrocopter
349 picks · 372 bans
Crystal Maiden
343 picks · 129 bans
Centaur Warrunner
334 picks · 445 bans
Dark Willow
319 picks · 353 bans
Dragon Knight
308 picks · 563 bans
Rubick
308 picks · 161 bans
Clockwerk
307 picks · 413 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 63%
Hero pool strength51% Team Tea
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total76% Team Tea
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Dragon Esports 24%Team Tea 76%
The model gave 76% on Team Tea — the game was taken by Dragon Esports.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Tea · 76%
Series resultDragon Esports 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1