Galaxy Ez Turbo · BO1
result vs predictionDTDread Teamwin 1:0
series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 1:0
DTDangerLyoha Teamloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Dread Team
No games played over 6 months.
DangerLyoha Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
641 picks · 443 bans
Rubick
599 picks · 339 bans
Pangolier
456 picks · 659 bans
Phoenix
450 picks · 526 bans
Tiny
395 picks · 353 bans
Storm Spirit
345 picks · 390 bans
Ember Spirit
342 picks · 501 bans
Puck
321 picks · 988 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% Dread Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% DangerLyoha Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Dread Team 34%DangerLyoha Team 66%
The model gave 66% on DangerLyoha Team — the game was taken by Dread Team.
Model check result
Model favoriteDangerLyoha Team · 66%
Series resultDread Team 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1