Galaxy Ez Turbo · BO1
result vs predictionDTDread Teamloss 0:1
series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Stray Teamwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Dread Team
No games played over 6 months.
Stray Team
Ogre Magi
balod9l · 4 games
Rubick
Vovapain · 3 games
Alchemistoften banned
zvёzd · 2 games
Ancient Apparition
Vovapain · 2 games
Brewmasteroften banned
Stray · 2 games
Centaur Warrunner
DkFogas · 2 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
DkFogas · 2 games
Death Prophet
Stray · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
641 picks · 443 bans
Rubick
599 picks · 339 bans
Pangolier
456 picks · 659 bans
Phoenix
450 picks · 526 bans
Tiny
395 picks · 353 bans
Storm Spirit
345 picks · 390 bans
Ember Spirit
342 picks · 501 bans
Puck
321 picks · 988 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 45%
Hero pool strength50% Dread Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% Stray Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Dread Team 38%Stray Team 62%
The model gave 62% on Stray Team — the game was taken by Stray Team.
Model check result
Model favoriteStray Team · 62%
Series resultStray Team 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1