EPL Masters II · BO3
result vs predictionTSTeam Syntaxloss 0:2
series probability
7%93%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Klim Sani4win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Syntax
Tusksignature
Stoic · 8 games
Largooften banned
Jeezy · 6 games
Axeoften banned
emptiness · 5 games
Baneoften banned
Stoic · 5 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Stoic · 5 games
Dark Seeroften banned
emptiness · 4 games
Mirana
Jeezy · 3 games
Phoenix
Jeezy · 3 games
Klim Sani4
Beastmasteroften banned
mangekyou · 1 game
Dark Willow
swedenstrong · 1 game
Enigmaoften banned
mangekyou · 1 game
Lifestealeroften banned
423 · 1 game
Lone Druidoften banned
423 · 1 game
Rubick
swedenstrong · 1 game
Sand Kingoften banned
Squad1x · 1 game
Slarkoften banned
Squad1x · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
485 picks · 331 bans
Bane
347 picks · 456 bans
Clockwerk
338 picks · 532 bans
Ember Spirit
321 picks · 494 bans
Shadow Fiend
313 picks · 643 bans
Tiny
284 picks · 317 bans
Windranger
277 picks · 203 bans
Snapfire
265 picks · 431 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 60%
Hero pool strength55% Klim Sani4
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total93% Klim Sani4
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct4:38
Team Syntax 21%Klim Sani4 79%
The model gave 79% on Klim Sani4 — the game was taken by Klim Sani4 in 23:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
DawnbreakerYoungGodLevi
Lifestealer423
TuskPlayHard
Dark Seermangekyou
51% · 47 games
Earth SpiritSquad1x
57% · 110 games
Clockwerkswedenstrong
49% · 32 games
Winter WyvernRein
Game 2prediction correct2:19
Team Syntax 21%Klim Sani4 79%
The model gave 79% on Klim Sani4 — the game was taken by Klim Sani4 in 18:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Legion CommanderYoungGodLevi
Broodmothermangekyou
ClockwerkPlayHard
Kez423
54% · 84 games
Ember SpiritSquad1x
48% · 19 games
DazzleRein
46% · 53 games
Dark Willowswedenstrong
Model check result
Model favoriteKlim Sani4 · 93%
Series resultKlim Sani4 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2