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EPL Masters II · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Syntaxloss 0:1
series probability
24%76%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Rune Eaters Arisewin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Syntax

Tusk
Tusksignature
Stoic · 9 games
67%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Stoic · 6 games
33%
Largo
Largooften banned
Jeezy · 6 games
50%
Axe
Axeoften banned
emptiness · 5 games
80%
Bane
Baneoften banned
Stoic · 5 games
20%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
emptiness · 4 games
75%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
emptiness · 3 games
0%
Mirana
Mirana
Jeezy · 3 games
33%

Rune Eaters Arise

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
waveformn · 9 games
44%
Largo
Largooften banned
Ankou · 6 games
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Ethereal · 5 games
60%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
yowaai · 5 games
40%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
ani-san · 5 games
60%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Ankou · 4 games
25%
Marci
Marcioften banned
waveformn · 4 games
50%
Mirana
Mirana
xsvampire · 4 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
488 picks · 332 bans
49%
Bane
Bane
349 picks · 461 bans
55%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
340 picks · 533 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
322 picks · 499 bans
57%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
315 picks · 648 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
285 picks · 320 bans
49%
Windranger
Windranger
278 picks · 203 bans
47%
Snapfire
Snapfire
265 picks · 431 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 47%
Hero pool strength51% Rune Eaters Arise
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total76% Rune Eaters Arise
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Team Syntax 24%Rune Eaters Arise 76%
The model gave 76% on Rune Eaters Arise — the game was taken by Rune Eaters Arise.
Model check result
Model favoriteRune Eaters Arise · 76%
Series resultRune Eaters Arise 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1