Leon Masters #1 · BO2
result vs predictionDBDudley boysloss 1:1
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Team Hryvnialoss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Dudley boys
No games played over 6 months.
Team Hryvnia
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
389 picks · 740 bans
Hoodwink
344 picks · 302 bans
Rubick
342 picks · 227 bans
Weaver
338 picks · 672 bans
Clockwerk
319 picks · 470 bans
Gyrocopter
311 picks · 380 bans
Pangolier
307 picks · 535 bans
Dark Willow
286 picks · 344 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 44%
Hero pool strength50% Dudley boys
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Team Hryvnia
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed28:14
Dudley boys 48%Team Hryvnia 52%
The model gave 52% on Team Hryvnia — the game was taken by Dudley boys in 26:13.
Game 2prediction correct9:32
Dudley boys 48%Team Hryvnia 52%
The model gave 52% on Team Hryvnia — the game was taken by Team Hryvnia in 27:13.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Hryvnia · 52%
Accuracy by game1 of 2