Игры Будущего 2025 · BO3
result vs prediction
E7loss 0:2series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 0:2
PTPaper Tigerswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
E7
No games played over 6 months.
Paper Tigers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
773 picks · 359 bans
Hoodwink
602 picks · 300 bans
Jakiro
573 picks · 469 bans
Dragon Knight
558 picks · 686 bans
Disruptor
550 picks · 550 bans
Tusk
525 picks · 312 bans
Mars
499 picks · 753 bans
Centaur Warrunner
491 picks · 554 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% E7
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Paper Tigers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct13:33
E7 42%Paper Tigers 58%
The model gave 58% on Paper Tigers — the game was taken by Paper Tigers in 26:44.
Game 2prediction correct7:55
E7 42%Paper Tigers 58%
The model gave 58% on Paper Tigers — the game was taken by Paper Tigers in 29:49.
Model check result
Model favoritePaper Tigers · 58%
Series resultPaper Tigers 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2