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DreamLeague Season 26 · BO2
result vs prediction
Edgeloss 1:1
series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Talon Esportsloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Edge

Ringmaster
Ringmaster
Yadomi · 9 games
44%
Muerta
Muerta
Michael · 8 games
25%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Vitaly · 8 games
25%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
PiPi · 7 games
14%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Yadomi · 6 games
17%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Vitaly · 5 games
20%
Kunkka
Kunkka
Vitaly · 5 games
40%
Slardar
Slardar
PiPi · 5 games
20%

Talon Esports

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Jhocam · 27 games
74%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Natsumi · 25 games
60%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Kuku · 25 games
60%
Lina
Linasignature
Mikoto · 21 game
76%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Mikoto · 21 game
62%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Mikoto · 19 games
47%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Mikoto · 19 games
58%
Doom
Doomsignature
Ws · 18 games
61%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
500 picks · 495 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
431 picks · 575 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
395 picks · 189 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
308 picks · 559 bans
46%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
278 picks · 390 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
272 picks · 159 bans
49%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
264 picks · 517 bans
51%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
262 picks · 475 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)29% vs 35%
Hero pool strength65% Talon Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Talon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed42:37
Edge 47%Talon Esports 53%
The model gave 53% on Talon Esports — the game was taken by Edge in 1:09:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetpayk
54% · 189 games47% · 78 games
Razor23savage
Razor
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritPiPi
52% · 393 games49% · 469 games
TinyMikoto
Tiny
Beastmaster
BeastmasterVitaly
49% · 424 games47% · 243 games
Sand KingWs
Sand King
Riki
RikiMichael
51% · 70 games49% · 148 games
RingmasterJhocam
Ringmaster
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenYadomi
54% · 190 games47% · 328 games
JakiroKuku
Jakiro
Game 2prediction correct9:37
Edge 45%Talon Esports 55%
The model gave 55% on Talon Esports — the game was taken by Talon Esports in 41:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Riki
Rikipayk
58% · 60 games42% · 112 games
Abaddon23savage
Abaddon
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritPiPi
54% · 196 games52% · 247 games
Monkey KingMikoto
Monkey King
Bristleback
BristlebackVitaly
54% · 216 games42% · 102 games
SlardarWs
Slardar
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightMichael
55% · 79 games46% · 234 games
RingmasterJhocam
Ringmaster
Jakiro
JakiroYadomi
50% · 267 games49% · 123 games
Shadow ShamanKuku
Shadow Shaman
Model check result
Model favoriteTalon Esports · 57%
Accuracy by game1 of 2