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BTS Pro Series Season 5. Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
EgoBoysloss 1:2
series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The Cutwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

EgoBoys

No games played over 6 months.

The Cut

Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Lil_Nick · 7 games
57%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
TingleK1ng · 3 games
33%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
TingleK1ng · 3 games
100%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 3 games
100%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Lil_Nick · 2 games
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Lil_Nick · 2 games
100%
Io
Iooften banned
Scourge McDuck · 2 games
50%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 2 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
393 picks · 879 bans
51%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
366 picks · 528 bans
54%
Mars
Mars
318 picks · 572 bans
51%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
283 picks · 511 bans
56%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
282 picks · 242 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
254 picks · 160 bans
50%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light
238 picks · 520 bans
54%
Wraith King
Wraith King
237 picks · 387 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 56%
Hero pool strength55% The Cut
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% The Cut
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteThe Cut · 60%
Series resultThe Cut 1:2
Series predictioncorrect