BTS Pro Series Season 6. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
EgoBoysloss 1:1series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 1:1
The Cutloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
EgoBoys
No games played over 6 months.
The Cut
Void Spiritoften banned
Lil_Nick · 9 games
Beastmasteroften banned
TingleK1ng · 3 games
Bristlebackoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 3 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Lil_Nick · 3 games
Iooften banned
Scourge McDuck · 3 games
Medusaoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 3 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
TingleK1ng · 3 games
Pangolieroften banned
TingleK1ng · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
382 picks · 978 bans
Lion
369 picks · 195 bans
Mars
363 picks · 590 bans
Grimstroke
347 picks · 363 bans
Death Prophet
293 picks · 646 bans
Snapfire
291 picks · 168 bans
Tusk
288 picks · 223 bans
Void Spirit
284 picks · 478 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 24%
Hero pool strength51% EgoBoys
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total62% EgoBoys
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed30:34
EgoBoys 62%The Cut 38%
The model gave 62% on EgoBoys — the game was taken by The Cut in 30:39.
Game 2prediction missed15:21
EgoBoys 62%The Cut 38%
The model gave 62% on EgoBoys — the game was taken by The Cut in 24:48.
Model check result
Model favoriteEgoBoys · 62%
Accuracy by game0 of 2