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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Китай · BO3
result vs prediction
EHOMEloss 0:2
series probability
11%89%
probability at match start · final 0:2
LGD Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

EHOME

Bane
Bane
zzq · 14 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
zeal · 11 games
55%
Rubick
Rubick
pLAnet · 10 games
40%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
shiro · 9 games
44%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
zeal · 8 games
75%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
shiro · 7 games
43%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
7e · 6 games
33%
Weaver
Weaversignature
zzq · 6 games
67%

LGD Gaming

Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
NothingToSay · 19 games
68%
Bane
Banesignature
y` · 16 games
75%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
Faith_bian · 16 games
81%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
XinQ · 14 games
71%
Lycan
Lycansignature
Faith_bian · 11 games
64%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
NothingToSay · 9 games
100%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
XinQ · 9 games
89%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Ame · 9 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
433 picks · 269 bans
55%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
387 picks · 495 bans
52%
Weaver
Weaver
353 picks · 496 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
347 picks · 490 bans
54%
Kunkka
Kunkka
284 picks · 476 bans
50%
Wraith King
Wraith King
251 picks · 335 bans
55%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
246 picks · 355 bans
55%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
246 picks · 172 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 73%
Hero pool strength61% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 5
Model total89% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct20:23
EHOME 24%LGD Gaming 76%
The model gave 76% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 32:13.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinshiro
58% · 178 games49% · 138 games
MedusaAme
Medusa
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritEcho
48% · 216 games52% · 184 games
Storm SpiritNothingToSay
Storm Spirit
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnerzeal
52% · 106 games46% · 65 games
SlardarFaith_bian
Slardar
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightpLAnet
59% · 50 games50% · 117 games
IoXinQ
Io
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopterzzq
36% · 103 games51% · 149 games
Abaddony`
Abaddon
Game 2prediction correct11:39
EHOME 26%LGD Gaming 74%
The model gave 74% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 29:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
Medusashiro
55% · 176 games60% · 230 games
Templar AssassinAme
Templar Assassin
Puck
PuckEcho
46% · 240 games46% · 154 games
KunkkaNothingToSay
Kunkka
Pangolier
Pangolierzeal
50% · 207 games41% · 227 games
Death ProphetFaith_bian
Death Prophet
Phoenix
PhoenixpLAnet
47% · 115 games53% · 62 games
EarthshakerXinQ
Earthshaker
Clockwerk
Clockwerkzzq
50% · 151 game52% · 216 games
Baney`
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 89%
Series resultLGD Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2