i-League 2021 · BO3
result vs prediction
EHOMEloss 0:2series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Royal Never Give Upwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
EHOME
Tusk
xNova · 15 games
Marsoften banned
Chalice · 13 games
Pucksignature
Xm · 11 games
Earth Spiritsignature
xNova · 8 games
Grimstroke
Frisk · 8 games
Lunasignature
Frisk · 7 games
Nature's Prophetsignature
Chalice · 7 games
Pangoliersignature
Frisk · 6 games
Royal Never Give Up
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
431 picks · 959 bans
Void Spirit
407 picks · 590 bans
Death Prophet
356 picks · 653 bans
Mars
338 picks · 604 bans
Earth Spirit
312 picks · 275 bans
Phoenix
261 picks · 367 bans
Tusk
254 picks · 178 bans
Pangolier
246 picks · 344 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 60%
Hero pool strength58% EHOME
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total68% EHOME
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:36
EHOME 68%Royal Never Give Up 32%
The model gave 68% on EHOME — the game was taken by Royal Never Give Up in 45:09.
Game 2prediction missed15:32
EHOME 68%Royal Never Give Up 32%
The model gave 68% on EHOME — the game was taken by Royal Never Give Up in 26:57.
Model check result
Model favoriteEHOME · 68%
Series resultRoyal Never Give Up 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2