The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionEUEl Ultimo Baile del Chinoloss 0:2
series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 0:2
TeamDkwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
El Ultimo Baile del Chino
No games played over 6 months.
TeamDk
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
480 picks · 444 bans
Tiny
471 picks · 538 bans
Ringmaster
442 picks · 222 bans
Terrorblade
347 picks · 661 bans
Storm Spirit
307 picks · 452 bans
Ancient Apparition
297 picks · 680 bans
Tusk
293 picks · 233 bans
Windranger
284 picks · 86 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% El Ultimo Baile del Chino
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% El Ultimo Baile del Chino
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
El Ultimo Baile del Chino 58%TeamDk 42%
The model gave 58% on El Ultimo Baile del Chino — the game was taken by TeamDk.
Game 2prediction missed
El Ultimo Baile del Chino 58%TeamDk 42%
The model gave 58% on El Ultimo Baile del Chino — the game was taken by TeamDk.
Model check result
Model favoriteEl Ultimo Baile del Chino · 58%
Series resultTeamDk 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2