Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 2 — Северная Америка 2-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Electronic Boyswin 1:0series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 1:0
PSPecado Squad Gamingloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Electronic Boys
Witch Doctor
albinozebra · 7 games
Juggernautoften banned
Speeed · 4 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
red2 · 3 games
Jakiro
albinozebra · 3 games
Marsoften banned
Giant · 3 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Giant · 3 games
Timbersawoften banned
Giant · 3 games
Alchemistoften banned
Speeed · 2 games
Pecado Squad Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
452 picks · 988 bans
Void Spirit
428 picks · 593 bans
Death Prophet
371 picks · 697 bans
Mars
352 picks · 610 bans
Earth Spirit
327 picks · 304 bans
Tusk
289 picks · 183 bans
Grimstroke
288 picks · 256 bans
Phoenix
283 picks · 394 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 60%
Hero pool strength52% Pecado Squad Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% Pecado Squad Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoritePecado Squad Gaming · 70%
Series resultElectronic Boys 1:0
Series predictionmissed