i-League 2021 · BO3
result vs prediction
Elephantwin 2:0series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team MagMaloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Elephant
No games played over 6 months.
Team MagMa
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
453 picks · 1006 bans
Void Spirit
423 picks · 610 bans
Mars
370 picks · 641 bans
Death Prophet
354 picks · 663 bans
Earth Spirit
334 picks · 289 bans
Phoenix
278 picks · 379 bans
Tusk
261 picks · 174 bans
Monkey King
259 picks · 844 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 36%
Hero pool strength50% Elephant
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total67% Elephant
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed16:23
Elephant 67%Team MagMa 33%
The model gave 67% on Elephant — the game was taken by Team MagMa in 31:20.
Game 2prediction missed26:13
Elephant 67%Team MagMa 33%
The model gave 67% on Elephant — the game was taken by Team MagMa in 34:51.
Model check result
Model favoriteElephant · 67%
Series resultElephant 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2