Игры Будущего 2024 · BO3
result vs prediction
Entitywin 2:0series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 2:0
beastcoastloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Entity
No games played over 6 months.
beastcoast
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
360 picks · 306 bans
Centaur Warrunner
333 picks · 509 bans
Vengeful Spirit
321 picks · 301 bans
Pangolier
270 picks · 371 bans
Magnus
252 picks · 457 bans
Luna
249 picks · 227 bans
Techies
243 picks · 155 bans
Mars
242 picks · 304 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Entity
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% Entity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed10:32
Entity 65%beastcoast 35%
The model gave 65% on Entity — the game was taken by beastcoast in 31:31.
Game 2prediction missed32:30
Entity 65%beastcoast 35%
The model gave 65% on Entity — the game was taken by beastcoast in 42:37.
Model check result
Model favoriteEntity · 65%
Series resultEntity 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2