Riyadh Masters 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
Entitywin 2:0series probability
82%18%
probability at match start · final 2:0
beastcoastloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Entity
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
DM · 1 game
Chaos Knightoften banned
Watson · 1 game
Elder Titan
Fishman · 1 game
Grimstroke
Kataomi · 1 game
Tinyoften banned
No[o]ne · 1 game
beastcoast
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
391 picks · 631 bans
Gyrocopter
324 picks · 366 bans
Dark Willow
321 picks · 351 bans
Clockwerk
317 picks · 429 bans
Weaver
308 picks · 517 bans
Centaur Warrunner
306 picks · 406 bans
Crystal Maiden
299 picks · 112 bans
Rubick
296 picks · 167 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 55%
Hero pool strength55% beastcoast
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total82% Entity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed31:15
Entity 82%beastcoast 18%
The model gave 82% on Entity — the game was taken by beastcoast in 39:01.
Game 2prediction missed26:28
Entity 82%beastcoast 18%
The model gave 82% on Entity — the game was taken by beastcoast in 33:27.
Model check result
Model favoriteEntity · 82%
Series resultEntity 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2