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ESL One Malaysia 2022. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Entitywin 2:1
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:1
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Entity

No games played over 6 months.

BETBOOM TEAM

Disruptor
Disruptor
CeMaTheSlayeR · 10 games
50%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Bignum · 8 games
50%
Puck
Pucksignature
Ainkrad · 8 games
63%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
fn · 8 games
75%
Snapfire
Snapfire
CeMaTheSlayeR · 7 games
57%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
Petushara · 7 games
57%
Bane
Banesignature
Bignum · 6 games
83%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Petushara · 6 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
613 picks · 463 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
430 picks · 933 bans
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
361 picks · 187 bans
51%
Mars
Mars
360 picks · 585 bans
47%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
349 picks · 401 bans
46%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
337 picks · 458 bans
50%
Bane
Bane
318 picks · 196 bans
58%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
303 picks · 586 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 52%
Hero pool strength54% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct11:19
Entity 48%BETBOOM TEAM 52%
The model gave 52% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 26:28.
Game 2prediction correct32:21
Entity 48%BETBOOM TEAM 52%
The model gave 52% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 42:04.
Game 3prediction missed
Entity 48%BETBOOM TEAM 52%
The model gave 52% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Entity.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 52%
Series resultEntity 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 3