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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Entitywin 2:1
series probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 2:1
No Monkey Businessloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Entity

No games played over 6 months.

No Monkey Business

Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
MieRo · 5 games
80%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Egor · 5 games
60%
Razor
Razoroften banned
xannii · 5 games
60%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
illusion · 5 games
40%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
xannii · 4 games
50%
Bane
Bane
antoha · 3 games
67%
Chen
Chenoften banned
antoha · 3 games
100%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
xannii · 3 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
452 picks · 273 bans
55%
Mars
Mars
381 picks · 524 bans
54%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
367 picks · 504 bans
53%
Weaver
Weaver
354 picks · 471 bans
52%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
295 picks · 462 bans
54%
Kunkka
Kunkka
286 picks · 506 bans
50%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
266 picks · 187 bans
45%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
261 picks · 328 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)70% vs 57%
Hero pool strength53% No Monkey Business
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total83% Entity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed18:43
Entity 83%No Monkey Business 17%
The model gave 83% on Entity — the game was taken by No Monkey Business in 50:07.
Game 2prediction missed34:22
Entity 83%No Monkey Business 17%
The model gave 83% on Entity — the game was taken by No Monkey Business in 34:57.
Game 3prediction missed19:36
Entity 83%No Monkey Business 17%
The model gave 83% on Entity — the game was taken by No Monkey Business in 37:56.
Model check result
Model favoriteEntity · 83%
Series resultEntity 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 3