Elite League · BO2
result vs prediction
Entityloss 0:2series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 0:2
PSG Questwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Entity
No games played over 6 months.
PSG Quest
Enchantressoften banned
Kaori · 20 games
Hoodwink
OmaR · 16 games
Batrideroften banned
OmaR · 14 games
Lionsignature
OmaR · 14 games
Primal Beastoften banned
No!ob · 14 games
Rubick
OmaR · 14 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Malik · 13 games
Crystal Maidensignature
Dukalis · 13 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
500 picks · 784 bans
Batrider
458 picks · 971 bans
Crystal Maiden
455 picks · 198 bans
Techies
453 picks · 350 bans
Tiny
451 picks · 602 bans
Mars
448 picks · 716 bans
Rubick
439 picks · 203 bans
Pangolier
423 picks · 720 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 59%
Hero pool strength53% PSG Quest
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total63% Entity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed7:27
Entity 63%PSG Quest 37%
The model gave 63% on Entity — the game was taken by PSG Quest in 27:30.
Game 2prediction missed26:31
Entity 63%PSG Quest 37%
The model gave 63% on Entity — the game was taken by PSG Quest in 58:32.
Model check result
Model favoriteEntity · 63%
Series resultPSG Quest 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2