Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
Entitywin 2:0series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 2:0
YNTloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Entity
No games played over 6 months.
YNT
Marsoften banned
Dominic · 10 games
Grimstroke
jesv · 9 games
Pugnaoften banned
Malr1ne · 9 games
Sand Kingoften banned
Dominic · 9 games
Tiny
DarkLord^ · 9 games
Death Prophetoften banned
dSa · 8 games
Bane
dSa · 7 games
Chaos Knightoften banned
DarkLord^ · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
528 picks · 450 bans
Mars
461 picks · 683 bans
Dragon Knight
425 picks · 544 bans
Bane
403 picks · 286 bans
Pangolier
355 picks · 595 bans
Storm Spirit
341 picks · 557 bans
Ember Spirit
336 picks · 628 bans
Chaos Knight
335 picks · 656 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 44%
Hero pool strength53% Entity
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total79% Entity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed11:36
Entity 79%YNT 21%
The model gave 79% on Entity — the game was taken by YNT in 38:52.
Game 2prediction missed10:38
Entity 79%YNT 21%
The model gave 79% on Entity — the game was taken by YNT in 34:35.
Model check result
Model favoriteEntity · 79%
Series resultEntity 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2